Tuesday, September 29, 2009

September 30 MLB Odds


W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Boston 91 66
100.0 94.4 30.2 20.2
New York (A) 102 56 100.0
104.3 46.5 33.2








Detroit 84 73 87.2
86.7 8.0 3.5
Minnesota 82 75 12.8
84.5 0.6 0.2








Los Angeles (A) 93 64 100.0
95.8 14.7 7.5









W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 86 71 0.0 10.7 89.4 2.7 1.0
Philadelphia 91 66 100.0 0.0 94.1 29.1 10.9








St. Louis 90 67 100.0
93.4 24.8 8.7








Colorado 89 68 1.0 88.4 91.4 14.2 4.0
Los Angeles (N) 93 65 99.0 1.0 95.4 29.2 10.9
San Francisco 83 73
0.1 86.7 0.0 0.0

Monday, September 28, 2009

September 29 MLB Odds


W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Boston 91 65
100.0 95.0 30.2 20.1
New York (A) 101 56 100.0
104.0 46.6 33.2








Detroit 83 72 84.3
86.8 7.7 3.4
Minnesota 81 74 15.7
84.4 0.7 0.2








Los Angeles (A) 92 64 100.0
95.3 14.7 7.5
Texas 85 71
0.0 88.7 0.0 0.0









W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 86 70 1.0 27.6 89.8 7.2 2.7
Florida 83 74
0.0 85.1 0.0 0.0
Philadelphia 90 66 99.0 0.6 93.7 27.8 10.4








Chicago (N) 81 74
0.0 85.4 0.0 0.0
St. Louis 90 66 100.0
93.9 24.9 8.7








Colorado 88 68 0.9 70.7 91.0 11.4 3.2
Los Angeles (N) 93 64 99.1 0.9 96.0 28.7 10.8
San Francisco 83 73
0.1 86.2 0.0 0.0

Sunday, September 27, 2009

September 28 MLB Odds


W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Boston 91 64
100.0 95.7 30.2 20.1
New York (A) 100 56 100.0
103.7 46.7 33.2








Detroit 83 72 84.3
86.8 7.7 3.4
Minnesota 81 74 15.7
84.4 0.7 0.2








Los Angeles (A) 91 64 99.4 0.0 94.9 14.6 7.5
Texas 85 70 0.6 0.0 89.1 0.0 0.0









W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 85 70 0.3 21.0 89.5 5.3 2.0
Florida 83 73 0.0 0.0 85.4 0.0 0.0
Philadelphia 90 65 99.7 0.2 94.3 28.4 10.6








Chicago (N) 81 74
0.0 85.4 0.0 0.0
St. Louis 90 66 100.0
93.9 24.8 8.6








Colorado 88 68 0.4 78.3 91.0 12.6 3.5
Los Angeles (N) 93 63 99.6 0.4 96.6 28.9 10.8
San Francisco 83 73
0.1 86.2 0.0 0.0

Saturday, September 26, 2009

September 27 MLB Odds

Now that there are two actual races to watch, I'll try to move back to daily updates.

Does anyone know how MLB will decide who hosts a potential Colorado-Atlanta playoff for the Wild Card? I recall reading that they're trying to use head-to-head record as the determining factor, but the teams split the season series 4-4.


W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Boston 91 63 0.0 100.0 96.1 30.1 19.3
New York (A) 99 56 100.0 0.0 103.2 46.2 32.0








Detroit 83 71 85.4 0.0 87.4 8.3 3.9
Minnesota 81 73 14.6 0.0 84.8 0.7 0.3








Los Angeles (A) 90 64 99.1 0.0 94.5 14.7 8.0
Texas 85 69 0.9 0.0 88.6 0.1 0.0









W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 84 70 0.7 23.6 89.1 6.2 2.5
Florida 83 72 0.0 0.6 86.0 0.1 0.0
Philadelphia 89 65 99.3 0.4 93.9 27.3 9.8








Chicago (N) 81 73
0.2 85.9 0.0 0.0
St. Louis 90 65 100.0
94.4 25.1 8.6








Colorado 87 68 0.1 75.0 90.5 12.2 3.4
Los Angeles (N) 93 62 99.9 0.1 97.2 29.1 11.1
San Francisco 82 73
0.1 85.7 0.0 0.0

Saturday, September 19, 2009

September 19 Playoff Odds

I keep meaning to post regularly, but keep falling behind schedule. Also, six teams have already punched their postseason tickets, so this isn't the most interesting race.

What prompted today's update? A recent Keith Law chat:

James (Charlotte)
What are the chances of the Tigers beating the Yankees should they end up meeting in the 1st round?

Keith Law (1:32 PM)
45%.

Keith Law knows more about baseball than I do, but clearly he knows less about probability*. No sane person would put the Tigers' chances above 30% barring a major injury in the next couple weeks. The baseball playoffs are set up so the best team often doesn't bring home the hardware, but changing that would require playoff series so long that nobody would watch. Let's stop making October sound like just a string of seven coin flips.

* Or perhaps this is an attempt at hyperbole and nobody realizes it.


W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Baltimore 60 87 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 0.0
Boston 87 59 3.5 96.5 96.6 28.7 19.0
New York (A) 94 54 96.5 3.5 102.2 45.1 32.2
Tampa Bay 75 73 0.0 0.0 82.9 0.0 0.0
Toronto 66 81 0.0 0.0 73.3 0.0 0.0








Chicago (A) 72 76 1.8 0.0 79.6 0.3 0.1
Cleveland 61 86 0.0 0.0 67.9 0.0 0.0
Detroit 78 69 87.4 0.0 85.8 8.8 4.3
Kansas City 60 87 0.0 0.0 66.4 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 75 72 10.8 0.0 81.8 0.8 0.3








Los Angeles (A) 88 59 99.5 0.0 96.0 16.2 9.1
Oakland 69 78 0.0 0.0 76.2 0.0 0.0
Seattle 77 71 0.0 0.0 83.2 0.0 0.0
Texas 80 66 0.5 0.0 87.5 0.0 0.0









W L Div% WC% Pr W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 78 69 0.4 8.3 87.0 2.3 0.9
Florida 79 69 0.4 2.5 85.8 0.5 0.2
New York (N) 63 85 0.0 0.0 69.2 0.0 0.0
Philadelphia 86 60 99.2 0.3 94.9 27.6 9.9
Washington 51 96 0.0 0.0 57.5 0.0 0.0








Chicago (N) 75 71 0.0 0.4 83.8 0.1 0.0
Cincinnati 68 80 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 70 77 0.0 0.0 76.8 0.0 0.0
Milwaukee 72 75 0.0 0.0 78.6 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 56 89 0.0 0.0 63.3 0.0 0.0
St. Louis 86 62 100.0 0.0 94.0 25.6 8.8








Arizona 65 83 0.0 0.0 72.2 0.0 0.0
Colorado 83 65 2.4 76.3 90.5 12.7 3.5
Los Angeles (N) 88 60 97.6 2.4 96.4 29.7 11.3
San Diego 66 82 0.0 0.0 71.7 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 80 67 0.1 10.0 87.3 1.4 0.3