Monday, February 16, 2009

Early MLB Estimates

Warning: these numbers are rough. Use at your own risk.

If you have any questions, feel free to use the comments, but my answer will likely be "because the formula said so."


Div% WC% Proj W Lg% WS%
Baltimore .6 1.3 76.7 .3 .1
Boston 40.5 31.6 97.3 26.2 17.2
New York (A) 38.5 31.3 96.9 24.9 16.2
Tampa Bay 18.3 22.8 91.4 11.6 6.7
Toronto 2.2 4.4 81.4 1.2 .5












Chicago (A) 7.8 .2 73.0 .9 .3
Cleveland 39.3 2.3 83.4 8.1 3.9
Detroit 26.5 1.2 80.2 4.6 2.1
Kansas City 6.5 .1 72.2 .7 .3
Minnesota 20.0 .7 78.2 3.1 1.3












Los Angeles (A) 40.2 1.9 82.9 8.0 3.8
Oakland 40.7 1.9 83.0 8.2 3.9
Seattle 12.2 .2 74.6 1.6 .6
Texas 7.0 .1 71.8 .8 .3



















Div% WC% Proj W Lg% WS%
Atlanta 25.7 14.2 86.7 10.6 4.6
Florida 2.2 1.2 74.5 .5 .2
New York (N) 38.6 18.7 90.0 17.7 8.3
Philadelphia 29.2 15.6 87.7 12.5 5.5
Washington 4.3 2.5 77.2 1.1 .4












Chicago (N) 48.1 12.9 89.1 18.1 8.3
Cincinnati 10.2 2.6 78.1 2.2 .8
Houston 2.0 .3 71.0 .3 .1
Milwaukee 21.7 6.1 82.5 6.0 2.4
Pittsburgh .6 .1 67.2 .1 .0
St. Louis 17.4 4.8 81.1 4.5 1.7












Arizona 41.6 9.4 86.5 13.4 5.8
Colorado 15.1 3.0 79.1 3.3 1.2
Los Angeles (N) 20.8 4.4 81.1 5.1 2.0
San Diego 11.6 2.1 77.7 2.4 .8
San Francisco 10.8 2.0 77.3 2.1 .7

2 comments:

BHY said...

1. what accounts for the major differences between ur numbers and pecota? specifically, pecota: Cubs 97, Dbags 92, Mariners 70.

2. what do u do about anticipated free agent signings? just ignore them until they happen?

3. comment: bugstud said u guys thought Tampa's offensive numbers were depresed.

4. were u the bastard that snapped up Red Sox +525 AL on Greek?

5. whats ur favorite hole in king putt 2?

thanks in advance.

j holz said...

1. probably mostly playing time projections. rich harden 150 IP? milton bradley 490 PA? really?

2. yes

3. this is news to me

4. yes

5. i've only played it twice, but i'd probably say the long u-shaped one just because of how much variance there is