Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Kazmir Starts Game 5

I actually don't think this is a pointless move. Yes, Kazmir and Shields were both going to start two ALCS games either way, and their home/road splits this year aren't statistically significant. However, Kazmir is a lefty whose weakness is allowing home runs. If you can choose to have a giant left field wall for only one of these two pitchers, Kaz is the pick.

That said, this didn't make much of a difference in the odds:




Lg% WS%
Boston

.122 .068
Tampa Bay

.878 .460





Philadelphia

.899 .426
Los Angeles (N)

.101 .045

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