Thursday, October 2, 2008

Buehrle Starting ALDS Game Five

In his BP article today, Nate Silver makes the excellent point that the White Sox will probably bring Mark Buehrle back for Game 5of the ALDS on full rest, starting their "ace" while getting an additional lefty in the series against the left-leaning Rays.

I don't buy into the notion that Kazmir will also start Game 5; the Rays could have simply given him the Game 1 start on a week's rest and didn't do it.

Anyway, here's an update to reflect Chicago's rotation plans. Note that their chances of winning actually go down:

DS% Lg% WS%
.762 .431 .241
Tampa Bay
.640 .318 .168
Chicago (A)
.360 .131 .051
Los Angeles (A)
.238 .119 .057

.689 .352 .176
Chicago (N)
.328 .176 .089
.311 .137 .062
Los Angeles
.672 .335 .156

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