Monday, February 25, 2008

Updated MLB Projected Win Totals

Baltimore 71.6
Boston 89.1
New York 96.6
Tampa Bay 86.7
Toronto 78.5




Chicago 78.8
Cleveland 91.6
Detroit 88.8
Kansas City 73.7
Minnesota 74.3




Los Angeles 86.9
Oakland 78.7
Seattle 73
Texas 74.7








Atlanta 83.3
Florida 75.2
New York 92.9
Philadelphia 85.6
Washington 75.9




Chicago 87.8
Cincinnati 80.6
Houston 71.7
Milwaukee 85.6
Pittsburgh 73
St. Louis 75




Arizona 85.2
Colorado 80.3
Los Angeles 86.8
San Diego 77.8
San Francisco 70.5


Remember, these are still preliminary, especially because rosters can change significantly between now and opening day.

Quick take: Yeah, I know what you're thinking. "This guy has Tampa at 86 wins? I'll take my business elsewhere." Go ahead and laugh, I could use less competition at the betting window. For what it's worth, the correlation between these and the Baseball Prospectus numbers is .98.

These totals aren't adjusted for strength of schedule, although that wouldn't change things around too much. At most, perhaps the Orioles would lose 1.5 wins and the Angels would pick up 1.5.

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