Sunday, January 13, 2008

NFL Odds

Sorry about the formatting, Blogger isn't being nice.

Team Conf SB
NE 77.9 65.9
Ind 19.9 14.2
SD 2.2 1.4

Dal 49.9 9.6
GB 42.9 7.7
NYG 7.2 1.1

Notes: I think the market is undervaluing New England's Super Bowl chances. They were trading at 56-59 on WSEX before playing Jacksonville. After the game, they opened at 59-62. They were less than 7-1 favorites to win the game; something doesn't add up here. It's not like they barely squeaked out a win, either.

I'm erring a little on the side of caution with New England. Personally, I expect them to be -400 or more against Indy, but they're trading at 77 to win the AFC, so maybe the oddsmakers know better than me after all. Or maybe they're asleep at the switch.

Either way, this is shaping up to be one of the most boring playoff years of all time, unless you think the run at 19-0 is worth watching on its own merit.

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